Gartner released its updated Hype Cycle for AI < 2 months ago.
I'm puzzled by generative AI nearing the Peak of Inflated Expectations, forecasting reaching the Plateau of Productivity in 2-5 years' time?
At the current pace of progress, I'd expect it to be in the "less than 2 years" category?
Same goes for Autonomous Vehicles, forecasted to reach it in more than 10 years (!) - when you have cars roaming the streets in the US with little to no human takeover already 🤔
Definition for Plateau of Productivity from Gartner:
"With the real-world benefits of the innovation demonstrated and accepted, growing numbers of organizations feel comfortable with the now greatly reduced levels of risk. A sharp rise in adoption begins (resembling a hockey stick when shown graphically), and penetration accelerates rapidly as a result of productive and useful value."
Can anyone clarify the rationale?
Source: Gartner
